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LLM-selected modes based on XGBoost and Monte Carlo inputs
| Slot | Player | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Mode | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Jacoby Brissett | 0.0 | 18.0 | BOOM | MEDIUM | |
| RB | Bucky Irving | 0.0 | 14.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM | |
| RB | Omarion Hampton | 0.0 | 10.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM | |
| WR | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 0.0 | 22.0 | MODERATE | HIGH | |
| WR | Rashee Rice | 0.0 | 20.0 | MODERATE | HIGH | |
| TE | Juwan Johnson | 0.0 | 9.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM | |
| WR | Jameson Williams | 0.0 | 16.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM | |
| K | Jason Myers | 0.0 | 11.0 | MODERATE | HIGH | |
| D/ST | Rams D/ST | 0.0 | 7.0 | MODERATE | LOW |
Jordan Love (Elite ceiling (35 pts)), Tyjae Spears (Elite ceiling (28 pts)), Devin Singletary (Elite ceiling (26 pts)), Tetairoa McMillan (Elite ceiling (35 pts)), Marvin Harrison Jr. (Elite ceiling (28 pts)), Luther Burden III (RB/WR depth (17 pts ceiling)), Hunter Henry (Elite ceiling (31 pts))
Hold proven performers, ceiling matters more than this week's matchup
MHJ questionable status creates potential WR need. Harold Fannin Jr. (TE) showing 28% boom probability if TE streaming needed.
See ML Analysis tab for MC histograms. See Waivers tab for full analysis.
Week 15 presents a favorable matchup against Auto DraftKings with our projected 115+ points against their sub-90 (per LLM mode selections). Jaxon Smith-Njigba continues his elite WR2 season versus Indianapolis, while Rashee Rice returns to MUST START status in Kansas City's cold-weather divisional clash. The QB decision between Brissett and Love is close, but Brissett's historical 73% BOOM rate gives him the edge despite Love's safer floor.
| Player | Pos | Slot | ESPN | LLM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | QB | 13.9 | 18.0 |
| Bucky Irving | RB | RB | 15.2 | 14.0 |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | RB | 11.7 | 10.0 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | WR | 20.8 | 22.0 |
| Rashee Rice | WR | WR | 17.2 | 20.0 |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | TE | 9.7 | 9.0 |
| Jameson Williams | WR | RB/WR/TE | 13.9 | 16.0 |
| Jason Myers | K | K | 8.5 | 11.0 |
| Rams D/ST | D/ST | D/ST | 4.2 | 7.0 |
| Devin Singletary (bench) | RB | BE | 10.7 | 8.0 |
| Hunter Henry (bench) | TE | BE | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| Jordan Love (bench) | QB | BE | 14.8 | 17.0 |
| Luther Burden III (bench) | WR | BE | 8.1 | 10.0 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. (bench) | WR | BE | 12.8 | 12.0 |
| Tetairoa McMillan (bench) | WR | BE | 13.2 | 12.0 |
| Tyjae Spears (bench) | RB | BE | 10.1 | 8.0 |
| Player | Pos | Slot | ESPN | LLM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams | QB | QB | 16.1 | 17.4 |
| Jonathan Taylor | RB | RB | 16.7 | 10.7 |
| Sean Tucker | RB | RB | 2.9 | 8.7 |
| A.J. Brown | WR | WR | 16.8 | 8.5 |
| Justin Jefferson | WR | WR | 15.7 | 17.4 |
| Dalton Schultz | TE | TE | 8.9 | 10.0 |
| Emeka Egbuka | WR | RB/WR/TE | 12.2 | 7.5 |
| Jake Elliott | K | K | 8.0 | 5.5 |
| Commanders D/ST | D/ST | D/ST | 3.1 | 3.0 |
| C.J. Stroud (bench) | QB | BE | 17.2 | --- |
| Courtland Sutton (bench) | WR | BE | 13.2 | --- |
| David Njoku (bench) | TE | BE | 4.2 | --- |
| Jakobi Meyers (bench) | WR | BE | 11.9 | --- |
| Kenneth Gainwell (bench) | RB | BE | 12.6 | --- |
| Khalil Shakir (bench) | WR | BE | 10.5 | --- |
| Wan'Dale Robinson (bench) | WR | BE | 14.9 | --- |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 17.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 49% MOD [9-24]. XGB: 50% MOD. DEN tough defense. Mode: MODERATE. 17.0 pts.
MC (Historical): BUST: 28% | MODERATE: 49% | BOOM: 23%
XGB (This Week): Boom 27% | Bust 22% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | CHI | 17.6 | 19.3 | ? | +1.6 |
| 13 | DET | 15.7 | 25.8 | ? | +10.0 |
| 12 | MIN | 17.4 | 7.1 | ? | -10.4 |
| 11 | NYG | 16.3 | 17.7 | ? | +1.3 |
| 10 | PHI | 17.0 | 7.8 | ? | -9.1 |
| 9 | CAR | 18.1 | 9.0 | ? | -9.1 |
| 8 | PIT | 17.1 | 28.3 | ? | +11.2 |
| 7 | ARI | 17.4 | 13.4 | ? | -4.0 |
| 6 | CIN | 19.3 | 15.0 | ? | -4.4 |
| 5 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 4 | DAL | 18.6 | 26.3 | ? | +7.7 |
| 3 | CLE | 16.0 | 11.1 | ? | -4.9 |
| 2 | WSH | 17.6 | 20.9 | ? | +3.3 |
| 1 | DET | 14.9 | 15.9 | ? | +1.0 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 18.0 (BOOM)
Reasoning: MC: 73% BOOM [12-30]. XGB: 45% MOD. QB17 high ceiling. Mode: BOOM. 18.0 pts.
MC (Historical): BUST: 25% | MODERATE: 2% | BOOM: 73%
XGB (This Week): Boom 20% | Bust 34% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | LAR | 15.3 | 19.0 | ? | +3.7 |
| 13 | TB | 17.2 | 19.6 | ? | +2.4 |
| 12 | JAX | 16.7 | 18.7 | ? | +1.9 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 14.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 65% MOD [8-20]. XGB: 51% BUST but Thursday vs ATL. RB11 ranking. Mode: MODERATE. 14.0 pts.
MC (Historical): BUST: 17% | MODERATE: 65% | BOOM: 19%
XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 51% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | NO | 16.4 | 16.1 | ? | -0.3 |
| 13 | ARI | 11.8 | 16.1 | ? | +4.3 |
| 12 | LAR | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 11 | BUF | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 10 | NE | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 9 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 8 | NO | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 7 | DET | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 6 | SF | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 5 | SEA | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 4 | PHI | 17.5 | 25.5 | ? | +8.0 |
| 3 | NYJ | 17.9 | 13.9 | ? | -4.0 |
| 2 | HOU | 15.9 | 18.1 | ? | +2.2 |
| 1 | ATL | 17.3 | 14.5 | ? | -2.8 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 8.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 67% MOD [3-15]. XGB: 44% MOD. RB45. Mode: MODERATE. 8.0 pts.
MC (Historical): BUST: 18% | MODERATE: 67% | BOOM: 15%
XGB (This Week): Boom 22% | Bust 33% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | CLE | 8.6 | 6.7 | ? | -1.9 |
| 13 | JAX | 9.9 | 8.4 | ? | -1.5 |
| 12 | SEA | 9.6 | 6.5 | ? | -3.1 |
| 11 | HOU | 9.0 | 8.4 | ? | -0.6 |
| 10 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 9 | LAC | 9.5 | 9.2 | ? | -0.3 |
| 8 | IND | 9.5 | 17.2 | ? | +7.7 |
| 7 | NE | 7.8 | 7.0 | ? | -0.8 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 10.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 47% MOD [6-18]. XGB: 54% BUST. LAC vs KC. Mode: MODERATE. 10.0 pts.
MC (Historical): BUST: 26% | MODERATE: 47% | BOOM: 27%
XGB (This Week): Boom 10% | Bust 53% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | PHI | 12.1 | 14.7 | ? | +2.6 |
| 13 | LV | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 12 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 11 | JAX | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 10 | PIT | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 9 | TEN | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 8 | MIN | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 8.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 58% BUST, 22% MOD [4-16]. XGB: 55% BUST. RB29 SIT. Mode: MODERATE. 8.0 pts.
MC (Historical): BUST: 58% | MODERATE: 22% | BOOM: 20%
XGB (This Week): Boom 14% | Bust 55% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 12 | DET | 9.9 | 4.7 | ? | -5.2 |
| 11 | GB | 9.6 | 17.7 | ? | +8.1 |
| 10 | CHI | 9.7 | 10.3 | ? | +0.6 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 22.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 41% MOD [13-25], 29% BOOM. XGB: 62% MOD. WR2 ECR. Mode: MODERATE. 22.0 pts.
MC (Historical): BUST: 30% | MODERATE: 41% | BOOM: 29%
XGB (This Week): Boom 12% | Bust 22% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | ATL | 20.9 | 28.1 | ? | +7.2 |
| 13 | MIN | 21.9 | 4.3 | ? | -17.6 |
| 12 | TEN | 21.3 | 37.1 | ? | +15.8 |
| 11 | LAR | 23.0 | 20.6 | ? | -2.4 |
| 10 | ARI | 22.0 | 20.3 | ? | -1.7 |
| 9 | WSH | 24.5 | 22.0 | ? | -2.5 |
| 8 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 7 | HOU | 20.0 | 26.3 | ? | +6.3 |
| 6 | JAX | 17.9 | 30.2 | ? | +12.3 |
| 5 | TB | 15.9 | 27.2 | ? | +11.3 |
| 4 | ARI | 16.4 | 13.0 | ? | -3.4 |
| 3 | NO | 15.5 | 20.6 | ? | +5.1 |
| 2 | PIT | 14.4 | 18.3 | ? | +3.9 |
| 1 | SF | 14.7 | 19.4 | ? | +4.7 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 12.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 50% BUST, 34% MOD [8-20]. XGB: 54% MOD. CAR vs DAL. Mode: MODERATE. 12.0 pts.
MC (Historical): BUST: 50% | MODERATE: 34% | BOOM: 16%
XGB (This Week): Boom 21% | Bust 22% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 13 | LAR | 13.2 | 11.3 | ? | -1.9 |
| 12 | SF | 16.3 | 11.5 | ? | -4.8 |
| 11 | ATL | 13.5 | 33.0 | ? | +19.5 |
| 10 | NO | 12.2 | 11.0 | ? | -1.2 |
| 9 | GB | 12.9 | 8.6 | ? | -4.3 |
| 8 | BUF | 13.4 | 16.9 | ? | +3.5 |
| 7 | NYJ | 12.5 | 6.3 | ? | -6.2 |
| 6 | DAL | 14.6 | 17.9 | ? | +3.3 |
| 5 | MIA | 14.2 | 13.3 | ? | -0.9 |
| 4 | NE | 14.2 | 10.2 | ? | -4.0 |
| 3 | ATL | 13.2 | 7.8 | ? | -5.4 |
| 2 | ARI | 13.5 | 16.0 | ? | +2.5 |
| 1 | JAX | 13.9 | 11.8 | ? | -2.1 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 12.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 43% MOD [6-18]. XGB: 42% BOOM. Questionable status. Mode: MODERATE. 12.0 pts.
MC (Historical): BUST: 31% | MODERATE: 43% | BOOM: 27%
XGB (This Week): Boom 45% | Bust 19% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | LAR | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 13 | TB | 13.7 | 12.9 | ? | -0.8 |
| 12 | JAX | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 11 | SF | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 10 | SEA | 13.3 | 14.3 | ? | +1.0 |
| 9 | DAL | 13.3 | 22.6 | ? | +9.3 |
| 8 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 7 | GB | 12.5 | 7.8 | ? | -4.7 |
| 6 | IND | 11.9 | 5.2 | ? | -6.7 |
| 5 | TEN | 12.8 | 13.8 | ? | +1.0 |
| 4 | SEA | 11.3 | 18.6 | ? | +7.3 |
| 3 | SF | 12.7 | 7.4 | ? | -5.3 |
| 2 | CAR | 14.0 | 4.7 | ? | -9.3 |
| 1 | NO | 13.9 | 18.1 | ? | +4.2 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 20.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 43% BOOM [17-32], 26% MOD. XGB: 40% MOD. WR6 MUST START. Mode: MODERATE. 20.0 pts.
MC (Historical): BUST: 31% | MODERATE: 26% | BOOM: 43%
XGB (This Week): Boom 32% | Bust 28% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | HOU | 17.1 | 7.4 | ? | -9.7 |
| 13 | DAL | 18.1 | 29.4 | ? | +11.3 |
| 12 | IND | 17.6 | 24.1 | ? | +6.5 |
| 11 | DEN | 16.4 | 9.8 | ? | -6.6 |
| 10 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 9 | BUF | 18.4 | 18.6 | ? | +0.2 |
| 8 | WSH | 17.2 | 25.5 | ? | +8.2 |
| 7 | LV | 13.7 | 23.2 | ? | +9.5 |
| 6 | DET | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 5 | JAX | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 4 | BAL | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 3 | NYG | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 2 | PHI | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 16.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 47% MOD [10-22]. XGB: 45% BUST. WR12 vs LAR. Mode: MODERATE. 16.0 pts.
MC (Historical): BUST: 30% | MODERATE: 47% | BOOM: 24%
XGB (This Week): Boom 12% | Bust 46% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | DAL | 13.8 | 17.3 | ? | +3.5 |
| 13 | GB | 11.8 | 26.9 | ? | +15.1 |
| 12 | NYG | 12.9 | 0.0 | ? | -12.9 |
| 11 | PHI | 12.6 | 19.7 | ? | +7.1 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 10.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 55% MOD [9-13]. XGB: No data. CHI vs MIN. Mode: MODERATE. 10.0 pts.
MC (Historical): BOOM: 25% | MODERATE: 55% | BUST: 20%
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | GB | 10.3 | 11.0 | ? | +0.7 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 9.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 42% MOD [5-14]. XGB: 58% BUST. TE5. Mode: MODERATE. 9.0 pts.
MC (Historical): BUST: 26% | MODERATE: 42% | BOOM: 32%
XGB (This Week): Boom 15% | Bust 61% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | TB | 9.7 | 7.8 | ? | -1.9 |
| 13 | MIA | 8.7 | 8.9 | ? | +0.2 |
| 12 | ATL | 9.3 | 10.6 | ? | +1.3 |
| 11 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 10 | CAR | 8.9 | 19.2 | ? | +10.2 |
| 9 | LAR | 8.3 | 12.1 | ? | +3.8 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 10.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 40% MOD [7-16]. XGB: 60% BUST. TE6. Mode: MODERATE. 10.0 pts.
MC (Historical): BUST: 48% | MODERATE: 40% | BOOM: 13%
XGB (This Week): Boom 9% | Bust 60% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 17.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 28% | MODERATE: 49% | BOOM: 23%
XGB (This Week): Boom 27% | Bust 22%
Notes: MC: 49% MOD [9-24]. XGB: 50% MOD. DEN tough defense. Mode: MODERATE. 17.0 pts.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | CHI | 17.6 | 19.3 | ? | +1.6 |
| 13 | DET | 15.7 | 25.8 | ? | +10.0 |
| 12 | MIN | 17.4 | 7.1 | ? | -10.4 |
| 11 | NYG | 16.3 | 17.7 | ? | +1.3 |
| 10 | PHI | 17.0 | 7.8 | ? | -9.1 |
| 9 | CAR | 18.1 | 9.0 | ? | -9.1 |
| 8 | PIT | 17.1 | 28.3 | ? | +11.2 |
| 7 | ARI | 17.4 | 13.4 | ? | -4.0 |
| 6 | CIN | 19.3 | 15.0 | ? | -4.4 |
| 5 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 4 | DAL | 18.6 | 26.3 | ? | +7.7 |
| 3 | CLE | 16.0 | 11.1 | ? | -4.9 |
| 2 | WSH | 17.6 | 20.9 | ? | +3.3 |
| 1 | DET | 14.9 | 15.9 | ? | +1.0 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 12.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 50% | MODERATE: 34% | BOOM: 16%
XGB (This Week): Boom 21% | Bust 22%
Notes: MC: 50% BUST, 34% MOD [8-20]. XGB: 54% MOD. CAR vs DAL. Mode: MODERATE. 12.0 pts.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 13 | LAR | 13.2 | 11.3 | ? | -1.9 |
| 12 | SF | 16.3 | 11.5 | ? | -4.8 |
| 11 | ATL | 13.5 | 33.0 | ? | +19.5 |
| 10 | NO | 12.2 | 11.0 | ? | -1.2 |
| 9 | GB | 12.9 | 8.6 | ? | -4.3 |
| 8 | BUF | 13.4 | 16.9 | ? | +3.5 |
| 7 | NYJ | 12.5 | 6.3 | ? | -6.2 |
| 6 | DAL | 14.6 | 17.9 | ? | +3.3 |
| 5 | MIA | 14.2 | 13.3 | ? | -0.9 |
| 4 | NE | 14.2 | 10.2 | ? | -4.0 |
| 3 | ATL | 13.2 | 7.8 | ? | -5.4 |
| 2 | ARI | 13.5 | 16.0 | ? | +2.5 |
| 1 | JAX | 13.9 | 11.8 | ? | -2.1 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 12.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 31% | MODERATE: 43% | BOOM: 27%
XGB (This Week): Boom 45% | Bust 19%
Notes: MC: 43% MOD [6-18]. XGB: 42% BOOM. Questionable status. Mode: MODERATE. 12.0 pts.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | LAR | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 13 | TB | 13.7 | 12.9 | ? | -0.8 |
| 12 | JAX | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 11 | SF | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 10 | SEA | 13.3 | 14.3 | ? | +1.0 |
| 9 | DAL | 13.3 | 22.6 | ? | +9.3 |
| 8 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 7 | GB | 12.5 | 7.8 | ? | -4.7 |
| 6 | IND | 11.9 | 5.2 | ? | -6.7 |
| 5 | TEN | 12.8 | 13.8 | ? | +1.0 |
| 4 | SEA | 11.3 | 18.6 | ? | +7.3 |
| 3 | SF | 12.7 | 7.4 | ? | -5.3 |
| 2 | CAR | 14.0 | 4.7 | ? | -9.3 |
| 1 | NO | 13.9 | 18.1 | ? | +4.2 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 8.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 18% | MODERATE: 67% | BOOM: 15%
XGB (This Week): Boom 22% | Bust 33%
Notes: MC: 67% MOD [3-15]. XGB: 44% MOD. RB45. Mode: MODERATE. 8.0 pts.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | CLE | 8.6 | 6.7 | ? | -1.9 |
| 13 | JAX | 9.9 | 8.4 | ? | -1.5 |
| 12 | SEA | 9.6 | 6.5 | ? | -3.1 |
| 11 | HOU | 9.0 | 8.4 | ? | -0.6 |
| 10 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 9 | LAC | 9.5 | 9.2 | ? | -0.3 |
| 8 | IND | 9.5 | 17.2 | ? | +7.7 |
| 7 | NE | 7.8 | 7.0 | ? | -0.8 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 10.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 48% | MODERATE: 40% | BOOM: 13%
XGB (This Week): Boom 9% | Bust 60%
Notes: MC: 40% MOD [7-16]. XGB: 60% BUST. TE6. Mode: MODERATE. 10.0 pts.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 8.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 58% | MODERATE: 22% | BOOM: 20%
XGB (This Week): Boom 14% | Bust 55%
Notes: MC: 58% BUST, 22% MOD [4-16]. XGB: 55% BUST. RB29 SIT. Mode: MODERATE. 8.0 pts.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 12 | DET | 9.9 | 4.7 | ? | -5.2 |
| 11 | GB | 9.6 | 17.7 | ? | +8.1 |
| 10 | CHI | 9.7 | 10.3 | ? | +0.6 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 10.0
MC (Historical): BOOM: 25% | MODERATE: 55% | BUST: 20%
Notes: MC: 55% MOD [9-13]. XGB: No data. CHI vs MIN. Mode: MODERATE. 10.0 pts.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | GB | 10.3 | 11.0 | ? | +0.7 |
| Player | Pos | Team | ESPN | LLM | Mode | Boom% | Mod% | Bust% | Threat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Schultz | TE | 8.9 | 10.0 | MODERATE | 29% | 46% | 25% | MEDIUM | |
| Justin Jefferson | WR | 15.7 | 17.4 | MODERATE | 18% | 60% | 22% | LOW | |
| Jake Elliott | K | 8.0 | 5.5 | BUST | 18% | 28% | 53% | LOW | |
| Caleb Williams | QB | 16.1 | 17.4 | MODERATE | 13% | 68% | 19% | LOW | |
| Sean Tucker | RB | 2.9 | 8.7 | MODERATE | 12% | 52% | 36% | LOW | |
| Emeka Egbuka | WR | 12.2 | 7.5 | BUST | 9% | 36% | 55% | LOW | |
| A.J. Brown | WR | 16.8 | 8.5 | BUST | 9% | 35% | 56% | LOW | |
| Jonathan Taylor | RB | 16.7 | 10.7 | BUST | 9% | 36% | 55% | LOW | |
| Commanders D/ST | D/ST | 3.1 | 3.0 | MODERATE | 0% | 0% | 0% | LOW |
Dalton Schultz: MC (BUST: 43% | MODERATE: 36% | BOOM: 22%) | XGB (Boom 29% | Bust 25%)
Justin Jefferson: MC (BUST: 49% | MODERATE: 45% | BOOM: 6%) | XGB (Boom 18% | Bust 22%)
Jake Elliott: MC (BUST: 34% | MODERATE: 40% | BOOM: 26%) | XGB (Boom 18% | Bust 53%)
Caleb Williams: MC (BUST: 39% | MODERATE: 33% | BOOM: 28%) | XGB (Boom 13% | Bust 19%)
Sean Tucker: MC (BUST: 33% | MODERATE: 51% | BOOM: 16%) | XGB (Boom 12% | Bust 36%)
Emeka Egbuka: MC (BUST: 41% | MODERATE: 31% | BOOM: 28%) | XGB (Boom 9% | Bust 55%)
A.J. Brown: MC (BUST: 19% | MODERATE: 44% | BOOM: 37%) | XGB (Boom 9% | Bust 56%)
Jonathan Taylor: MC (BUST: 50% | MODERATE: 22% | BOOM: 29%) | XGB (Boom 9% | Bust 55%)
Commanders D/ST: MC (BOOM: 25% | MODERATE: 55% | BUST: 20%) | XGB (Boom 0% | Bust 0%)
Season Phase: Playoff Positioning - Hold proven performers, ceiling matters more than this week's matchup
Click player names to view full MC histogram analysis.
Note: Protection thresholds adjust by season phase. Currently in Playoff Positioning mode. Players with high ceiling or returning from injury before playoffs are protected from drop suggestions.
| Player | Pos | Team | ESPN | Boom% | Bust% | Own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | RB | 12.1 | 50% | 19% | 0.0% | |
| Evan Engram | TE | 8.3 | 32% | 24% | 0.0% | |
| Ka'imi Fairbairn | K | 10.2 | 29% | 30% | 0.0% | |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | 10.5 | 28% | 21% | 0.0% | |
| Michael Badgley | K | 8.6 | 28% | 45% | 0.0% | |
| Garrett Wilson | WR | 14.6 | 27% | 39% | 0.0% | |
| Chiefs D/ST | D/ST | 7.4 | 27% | 36% | 0.0% | |
| Isiah Pacheco | RB | 8.0 | 24% | 27% | 0.0% | |
| Chuba Hubbard | RB | 11.4 | 22% | 36% | 0.0% | |
| Patriots D/ST | D/ST | 8.7 | 22% | 43% | 0.0% | |
| Trey Benson | RB | 8.8 | 21% | 37% | 0.0% | |
| Dolphins D/ST | D/ST | 8.8 | 18% | 49% | 0.0% | |
| Matthew Golden | WR | 8.9 | 18% | 46% | 0.0% | |
| Aaron Rodgers | QB | 14.5 | 16% | 56% | 0.0% | |
| Kyler Murray | QB | 16.8 | 14% | 45% | 0.0% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | 14.5 | BUST:50%, MODERATE:28%, BOOM:22% | 16% | 56% | |
| Kyler Murray | 16.8 | BUST:17%, MODERATE:58%, BOOM:25% | 14% | 45% | |
| Justin Fields | 16.5 | BUST:40%, MODERATE:31%, BOOM:30% | 14% | 48% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | 12.1 | BUST:47%, MODERATE:40%, BOOM:13% | 50% | 19% | |
| Isiah Pacheco | 8.0 | BUST:68%, MODERATE:29%, BOOM:3% | 24% | 27% | |
| Chuba Hubbard | 11.4 | BUST:25%, MODERATE:45%, BOOM:29% | 22% | 36% | |
| Trey Benson | 8.8 | BUST:33%, MODERATE:43%, BOOM:24% | 21% | 37% | |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | 8.8 | BUST:54%, MODERATE:32%, BOOM:14% | 8% | 59% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson | 14.6 | BUST:38%, MODERATE:39%, BOOM:23% | 27% | 39% | |
| Matthew Golden | 8.9 | BUST:41%, MODERATE:28%, BOOM:31% | 18% | 46% | |
| Cooper Kupp | 9.9 | BUST:50%, MODERATE:38%, BOOM:12% | 14% | 55% | |
| Rashid Shaheed | 10.0 | BUST:30%, MODERATE:38%, BOOM:32% | 10% | 58% | |
| Keenan Allen | 12.0 | BUST:67%, MODERATE:24%, BOOM:10% | 10% | 55% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Engram | 8.3 | BUST:69%, MODERATE:29%, BOOM:2% | 32% | 24% | |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | 10.5 | BUST:40%, MODERATE:44%, BOOM:16% | 28% | 21% | |
| Colston Loveland | 9.8 | BUST:42%, MODERATE:42%, BOOM:16% | 10% | 50% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ka'imi Fairbairn | 10.2 | 29% | 30% | |
| Michael Badgley | 8.6 | 28% | 45% | |
| Evan McPherson | 9.4 | 10% | 60% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs D/ST | 7.4 | 27% | 36% | |
| Patriots D/ST | 8.7 | 22% | 43% | |
| Dolphins D/ST | 8.8 | 18% | 49% |
Model input: This week's predicted mode probabilities (LLM uses these to make final decisions)
| Player | Pos | ESPN | LLM | Mode | Boom% | Mod% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Myers | K | --- | 11.0 | MODERATE | 47.9% | 32.4% | 19.7% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | --- | 12.0 | MODERATE | 44.8% | 36.1% | 19.2% |
| Rashee Rice | WR | --- | 20.0 | MODERATE | 31.6% | 40.8% | 27.6% |
| Jordan Love | QB | --- | 17.0 | MODERATE | 26.6% | 51.7% | 21.7% |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | --- | 8.0 | MODERATE | 22.0% | 44.8% | 33.2% |
| Tetairoa McMillan | WR | --- | 12.0 | MODERATE | 20.7% | 57.1% | 22.2% |
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | --- | 18.0 | BOOM | 19.8% | 46.0% | 34.2% |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | --- | 9.0 | MODERATE | 14.8% | 24.6% | 60.7% |
| Devin Singletary | RB | --- | 8.0 | MODERATE | 13.7% | 31.3% | 55.0% |
| Rams D/ST | D/ST | --- | 7.0 | MODERATE | 12.3% | 28.0% | 59.7% |
| Jameson Williams | WR | --- | 16.0 | MODERATE | 12.1% | 41.7% | 46.2% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | --- | 22.0 | MODERATE | 12.0% | 66.2% | 21.8% |
| Bucky Irving | RB | --- | 14.0 | MODERATE | 11.1% | 38.2% | 50.7% |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | --- | 10.0 | MODERATE | 10.5% | 36.8% | 52.8% |
| Hunter Henry | TE | --- | 10.0 | MODERATE | 8.6% | 31.4% | 60.0% |
Win Probability
Floor: -27.1 pts | Median: +15.5 pts | Ceiling: +56.7 pts
Key: Click any row to view full histogram. ↑15+ = P(≥15pts) | ↓5- = P(<5pts)
Variance: HIGH CV>0.5 (boom/bust) | MED CV>0.3 (moderate) | LOW CV≤0.3 (consistent)
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | HIGH | 18.0 | 4.0-27.7 | ↑15+: 64% | ↓5-: 13% | |
| Bucky Irving | RB | MED | 14.0 | 4.9-24.4 | ↑15+: 44% | ↓5-: 10% | |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | HIGH | 10.0 | 3.8-24.5 | ↑15+: 36% | ↓5-: 16% | |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | MED | 22.0 | 6.2-30.6 | ↑15+: 63% | ↓5-: 4% | |
| Rashee Rice | WR | MED | 20.0 | 6.2-28.0 | ↑15+: 57% | ↓5-: 5% | |
| Jameson Williams | WR | HIGH | 16.0 | 4.0-25.2 | ↑15+: 49% | ↓5-: 15% | |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | HIGH | 9.0 | 2.9-16.9 | ↑15+: 17% | ↓5-: 23% | |
| Rams D/ST | D/ST | HIGH | 7.0 | 1.1-18.2 | ↑15+: 18% | ↓5-: 34% | |
| Jason Myers | K | MED | 11.0 | 5.2-17.1 | ↑15+: 19% | ↓5-: 9% |
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Love | QB | MED | 17.0 | 6.3-27.7 | ↑15+: 54% | ↓5-: 6% | |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | HIGH | 8.0 | 2.5-18.6 | ↑15+: 17% | ↓5-: 26% | |
| Devin Singletary | RB | HIGH | 8.0 | 0.6-18.5 | ↑15+: 17% | ↓5-: 52% | |
| Tetairoa McMillan | WR | HIGH | 12.0 | 5.3-25.7 | ↑15+: 29% | ↓5-: 8% | |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | HIGH | 12.0 | 3.8-21.8 | ↑15+: 31% | ↓5-: 17% | |
| Luther Burden III | WR | LOW | 10.0 | 7.3-14.8 | ↑15+: 8% | ↓5-: 3% | |
| Hunter Henry | TE | HIGH | 10.0 | 3.5-21.7 | ↑15+: 18% | ↓5-: 26% |
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams | QB | HIGH | 17.4 | 5.9-30.1 | ↑15+: 53% | ↓5-: 7% | |
| Jonathan Taylor | RB | HIGH | 10.7 | 8.5-37.9 | ↑15+: 53% | ↓5-: 0% | |
| Sean Tucker | RB | HIGH | 8.7 | 1.3-27.7 | ↑15+: 19% | ↓5-: 37% | |
| Justin Jefferson | WR | HIGH | 17.4 | 5.5-22.5 | ↑15+: 38% | ↓5-: 7% | |
| A.J. Brown | WR | HIGH | 8.5 | 2.6-29.2 | ↑15+: 47% | ↓5-: 16% | |
| Emeka Egbuka | WR | HIGH | 7.5 | 3.5-24.3 | ↑15+: 32% | ↓5-: 22% | |
| Dalton Schultz | TE | HIGH | 10.0 | 2.7-17.3 | ↑15+: 17% | ↓5-: 30% | |
| Commanders D/ST | D/ST | MED | 3.0 | 1.4-5.1 | ↑15+: 0% | ↓5-: 89% | |
| Jake Elliott | K | HIGH | 5.5 | 2.2-14.9 | ↑15+: 10% | ↓5-: 32% |
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud | QB | HIGH | 14.3 | 5.2-25.3 | ↑15+: 41% | ↓5-: 9% | |
| Kenneth Gainwell | RB | HIGH | 10.1 | 1.7-24.5 | ↑15+: 23% | ↓5-: 35% | |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | HIGH | 12.5 | 4.8-25.2 | ↑15+: 29% | ↓5-: 12% | |
| Courtland Sutton | WR | HIGH | 13.0 | 3.1-22.3 | ↑15+: 39% | ↓5-: 16% | |
| Jakobi Meyers | WR | HIGH | 12.5 | 5.2-21.6 | ↑15+: 31% | ↓5-: 9% | |
| Khalil Shakir | WR | HIGH | 10.8 | 1.8-20.0 | ↑15+: 27% | ↓5-: 25% | |
| David Njoku | TE | HIGH | 9.2 | 3.5-18.0 | ↑15+: 19% | ↓5-: 30% |
| Player | Position | BOOM | MODERATE | BUST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucky Irving | RB | 19% @ 24.3 | 65% @ 14.2 | 17% @ 5.0 | 14.5 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | 29% @ 28.6 | 41% @ 18.7 | 30% @ 7.5 | 18.2 |
| Rashee Rice | WR | 43% @ 24.3 | 26% @ 16.0 | 31% @ 7.4 | 16.9 |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | 27% @ 22.9 | 47% @ 11.9 | 26% @ 4.8 | 13.0 |
| Jason Myers | K | 20% @ 16.9 | 47% @ 11.7 | 33% @ 6.4 | 11.0 |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | 32% @ 14.9 | 42% @ 9.1 | 26% @ 3.7 | 9.6 |
| Jameson Williams | WR | 24% @ 24.1 | 47% @ 15.7 | 30% @ 5.3 | 14.6 |
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | 73% @ 21.3 | 2% @ 14.7 | 25% @ 5.8 | 17.3 |
| Rams D/ST | D/ST | 22% @ 17.5 | 39% @ 9.2 | 40% @ 4.0 | 8.9 |
Week 15 standings with live scores included. ESPN updates official totals on Tuesday.
| Rank | Team | Record | PF (Total) | PA (Total) | +/- | This Week | Streak | Playoff % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 10-4 | 1744.9 | 1548.1 | +196.8 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | W3 | 100.0% |
| 2 | 4th and pinches | 9-5 | 1633.8 | 1645.4 | -11.6 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | W1 | 99.9% |
| 3 | Valued Customers ← | 8-6 | 1686.6 | 1445.6 | +241.0 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | W4 | 75.4% |
| 4 | Wookie of the Year | 8-6 | 1601.3 | 1616.8 | -15.5 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | W2 | 58.1% |
| 5 | Meat Pistols | 8-6 | 1429.7 | 1471.9 | -42.3 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | L1 | 33.2% |
| 6 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 7-7 | 1644.8 | 1620.4 | +24.4 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | L2 | 24.5% |
| 7 | Torta Pounders Football Club | 7-7 | 1610.5 | 1537.4 | +73.1 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | L1 | 8.9% |
| 8 | Moms rules | 6-8 | 1536.5 | 1662.1 | -125.6 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | L2 | 0.0% |
| 9 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 6-8 | 1478.5 | 1531.2 | -52.7 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | L4 | 0.0% |
| 10 | Smooth Roosters | 6-8 | 1471.5 | 1561.6 | -90.1 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | W2 | 0.0% |
| 11 | The Warsaw Pact | 5-9 | 1495.1 | 1646.5 | -151.4 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | W1 | 0.0% |
| 12 | Auto DraftKings | 4-10 | 1584.9 | 1631.2 | -46.3 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | L3 | 0.0% |
| Away Team | Score | Score | Home Team | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kitty's Piggy Skins | 0.0 | @ | 0.0 | Moms rules |
| 4th and pinches | 0.0 | @ | 0.0 | Torta Pounders Football Club |
| Valued Customers | 0.0 | @ | 0.0 | Auto DraftKings |
| Wookie of the Year | 0.0 | @ | 0.0 | Ryan's Rowdy Team |
| Meat Pistols | 0.0 | @ | 0.0 | Smooth Roosters |
| Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 0.0 | @ | 0.0 | The Warsaw Pact |
Weekly and cumulative points scored by each team throughout the 2025 season. Your team (Valued Customers) is highlighted in green.
MHJ questionable status creates potential WR need. Harold Fannin Jr. (TE) showing 28% boom probability if TE streaming needed.
No major injury concerns.
Live data from completed games
| Category | Pos | Player | ESPN | LLM | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our Team | WR | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 0.0 | 22.0 | 0.0 | -22.0 |
| Our Team | WR | Rashee Rice | 0.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | -20.0 |
| Our Team | QB | Jacoby Brissett | 0.0 | 18.0 | 0.0 | -18.0 |
| Opponent | WR | Justin Jefferson | 15.7 | 17.4 | 0.0 | -17.4 |
| Opponent | QB | Caleb Williams | 16.1 | 17.4 | 0.0 | -17.4 |
| Our Team | QB | Jordan Love | 0.0 | 17.0 | 0.0 | -17.0 |
| Our Team | WR | Jameson Williams | 0.0 | 16.0 | 0.0 | -16.0 |
| Our Team | RB | Bucky Irving | 0.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | -14.0 |
| Our Team | WR | Tetairoa McMillan | 0.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | -12.0 |
| Our Team | WR | Marvin Harrison Jr. | 0.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | -12.0 |
| Our Team | K | Jason Myers | 0.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | -11.0 |
| Opponent | RB | Jonathan Taylor | 16.7 | 10.7 | 0.0 | -10.7 |
| Our Team | RB | Omarion Hampton | 0.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | -10.0 |
| Our Team | TE | Hunter Henry | 0.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | -10.0 |
| Our Team | WR | Luther Burden III | 0.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | -10.0 |
| Opponent | TE | Dalton Schultz | 8.9 | 10.0 | 0.0 | -10.0 |
| Our Team | TE | Juwan Johnson | 0.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | -9.0 |
| Opponent | RB | Sean Tucker | 2.9 | 8.7 | 0.0 | -8.7 |
| Opponent | WR | A.J. Brown | 16.8 | 8.5 | 0.0 | -8.5 |
| Our Team | RB | Tyjae Spears | 0.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | -8.0 |
| Our Team | RB | Devin Singletary | 0.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | -8.0 |
| Opponent | WR | Emeka Egbuka | 12.2 | 7.5 | 0.0 | -7.5 |
| Our Team | D/ST | Rams D/ST | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | -7.0 |
| Opponent | K | Jake Elliott | 8.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | -5.5 |
| Opponent | D/ST | Commanders D/ST | 3.1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -3.0 |
Final review from run_013 (2025-12-08)
| Category | Pos | Player | ESPN | LLM | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Agent | QB | Sam Darnold | 0.0 | - | 22.3 | +22.3 |
| Free Agent | RB | Devin Neal | 0.0 | - | 15.4 | +15.4 |
| Opponent | K | Brandon Aubrey | 8.9 | 8.9 | 24.0 | +15.1 |
| Opponent | QB | Patrick Mahomes | 17.9 | 20.1 | 6.3 | -13.8 |
| Opponent | WR | DJ Moore | 9.1 | 11.9 | 0.6 | -11.3 |
| Our Team | WR | Rashee Rice | 17.1 | 17.0 | 7.4 | -9.6 |
| Opponent | D/ST | Vikings D/ST | 5.2 | 6.3 | 15.0 | +8.7 |
| Opponent | RB | Nick Chubb | 5.3 | 7.5 | 0.3 | -7.2 |
| Our Team | RB | Omarion Hampton | 12.1 | 8.0 | 14.7 | +6.7 |
| Our Team | WR | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 20.9 | 22.0 | 28.1 | +6.1 |
| Opponent | WR | Keon Coleman | 6.7 | 9.2 | 3.6 | -5.6 |
| Opponent | TE | Dalton Kincaid | 10.0 | 9.6 | 14.1 | +4.5 |
| Opponent | WR | Malik Washington | 8.4 | 8.2 | 4.0 | -4.2 |
| Our Team | K | Jason Myers | 8.3 | 10.0 | 14.0 | +4.0 |
| Our Team | D/ST | Rams D/ST | 6.8 | 9.0 | 6.0 | -3.0 |
| Our Team | WR | Luther Burden III | 10.3 | 8.0 | 11.0 | +3.0 |
| Free Agent | D/ST | Commanders D/ST | 0.0 | - | 3.0 | +3.0 |
| Our Team | TE | Juwan Johnson | 9.7 | 10.0 | 7.8 | -2.2 |
| Our Team | RB | Tyjae Spears | 8.6 | 8.0 | 6.7 | -1.3 |
| Our Team | QB | Jordan Love | 17.6 | 18.0 | 19.3 | +1.3 |
| Our Team | RB | Bucky Irving | 16.4 | 16.0 | 16.1 | +0.1 |
| Opponent | RB | Ollie Gordon II | 3.2 | 7.8 | 7.7 | -0.1 |
| Our Team | QB | Jacoby Brissett | 15.3 | 19.0 | 19.0 | +0.0 |
| Our Team | WR | Tetairoa McMillan | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| Our Team | WR | Marvin Harrison Jr. | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| Our Team | WR | Jameson Williams | 13.8 | 17.3 | 17.3 | +0.0 |
| Our Team | TE | Hunter Henry | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| Our Team | RB | Devin Singletary | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| Opponent | RB | Ray Davis | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
This tab logs discrepancies detected during the weekly analysis process.
| Type | Source | Claim | Actual | Resolution | Verified By |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fallback Triggered |
monte_carlo_projection.generate_auto_scenarios | Expected cluster data for Luther Burden III | Only 1 games played - insufficient for k-means clustering | Using mean±std approximation (expected for new players) | Unk |
Fallback Triggered |
monte_carlo_projection.generate_auto_scenarios | Expected cluster data for Commanders D/ST | Only 1 games played - insufficient for k-means clustering | Using mean±std approximation (expected for new players) | Unk |
Fallback Triggered |
monte_carlo_projection.generate_auto_scenarios | Expected cluster data for Commanders D/ST | Only 1 games played - insufficient for k-means clustering | Using mean±std approximation (expected for new players) | Unk |
Log timestamp: 2025-12-09T20:26:27.357718